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Typhoon Pablo Possible Path Includes Bohol

December 05, 12:00AM:

Typhoon Pablo is now well away from Bohol and is bearing down on northern part of Palawan after subjecting Dumaguete City and southern tip of Negros island with winds up to 170kph.  Based on the forecast from the Japan Meteorological Agency and PAGASA, Bohol should already be safe from any further adverse effects of Pablo.

Many Boholanos feel lucky that the typhoon spared Bohol from major damage even though strong winds and heavy rainfall were experienced in most of Bohol.

Typhoon Pablo is now well away from Bohol and is on its way to the northern part of Palawan.

December 04, 6:00PM:

Typhoon Pablo has dissipated some of its strength after passing through Northern Mindanao.  As of 6:00PM, the center of the typhoon is heading towards the southern tip of Negros island and Dumaguete.  In Tagbilaran City, winds intensified at around 2PM until 5PM and has since subsided.  In central Bohol, there were reports of strong winds and heavy rain.

Typhoon Pablo is now near Dumaguete City and the southern tip of Negros Island. Bohol was spared from the strongest winds of this typhoon.

PAGASA satellite image of Typhoon Pablo taken at 4:30PM December 4, 2012 shows the rain fall intensity reduced significantly and the storm engulfing a very large area of the country.

December 04, 3:00PM:

Typhoon Pablo has exited Mindanao and is bearing on Western Visayas.  Forecast shows that the center of the typhoon may skip Bohol but will possible make landfall at Dumaguete and the southern tip of the Negros Island.

The center of typhoon Pablo is now exiting Northern Mindanao and is headed towards Dumaguete City and the southern tip of Negros Island.

December 04, 8:00 AM:

Typhoon Pablo has made landfall in Northern Mindanao and is estimated to have winds near the center at about 170kph and gusts up to 240kph.  It is forecast to move west and become weaker with speeds up to 130kph near the center by December 4, 2012 at 8:00PM.

Due to its westward movement, typhoon Pablo is no longer going to hit Bohol directly.

Due to the typhoon’s westward movement, Bohol is no longer forecast to be directly hit by the typhoon’s center although strong winds and heavy rain are still expected in the province.

All schools, public offices and many private offices are closed today.  Some areas already have power interruption like Lindaville subdivision.

 

December 03, 3:00PM:

Typhoon Pablo is now forecast with Tagbilaran City close to the center of the typhoon.  The current movement is towards the west but will head west-north-west after hitting land in Northern Mindanao.

Forecast as of 3PM, Manila time. Bohol, particularly Tagbilaran City, is still directly in the forecast path of typhoon Pablo.

December 03, 2012 4AM:

Typhoon Pablo is forecast to hit Bohol almost directly on December 4, 2012 at night. Previous forecast images show that the typhoon’s path have slightly changed from hitting the northern part of Bohol to the southern part as of 4:00AM.

Residents of the province are advised to make necessary preparations for the very strong typhoon with maximum wind speed near the center of 170km/hour. Gusts may reach up to 240km/hour.

If the typhoon continues its westward movement, Bohol may be spared but Northern Mindanao will take brunt of the typhoon.

Bohol has been spared of strong typhoons for several years already and typhoon Pablo may be the first to hit it directly if the forecast doesn’t change. Damage to electrical, communications and other infrastructure can be expected.

As of December 3, 2012, typhoon Pablo is forecast to hit Bohol almost directly.

 

Satellite image of Typhoon PABLO (BOPHA) as of December 3, 2012 at 3:30AM.

Source: http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/1224c.html, PAGASA



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